The Soccer Draw Game – Hard to Find, Isn’t It? Eight of these are key to winning the UK triple chance football group, but you may only want to find two or three for a specialized fixed odds bet, or a variety of trebles, perhaps in an Australian, German, Spanish or Italian. Typically, in a league weekend in the UK football season and 49 matches on the coupon, there will be an average of 9 goal-scoring football ties, and of these many will have been predictable using a good scoring system. forecast. Non-scoring soccer draws average around 4-5 per week.
How do we find them?
Well, in the British league season, most teams play close to ‘form’, but the Cup games are more of a lottery when the ‘giant kill’ happens quite often, and it’s best avoided if you really you want to win the football pools. So to begin with, we only bet when the odds are optimal, and that means league play. In fact, we don’t bet when “form” is likely to be compromised, for example on Boxing Day.
With a good football draw forecasting system, you will be able to keep track of the form and eliminate those matches where there are certain wins at home. Usually there could be 22 home wins, many of which will have been easy to predict. As for away wins, they are harder to predict and there will be, on average, 13-14 away wins on the coupon each week.
So let’s say we can predict 90% of home wins, that’s about 19 games, and maybe 50% of away wins, that’s another 7 games. So from the coupon as a whole, with a reliable forecasting system, we can expect to predict 26 games (home and away). That leaves 23 matches, of which we have to find 8 soccer ties.
Now, with a good plan or permanent, combining maybe 17 or 18 picks, some plans even give 24 match coverage, then you can see the odds of getting 8 football draws in a line go up considerably. Sure, using a plan means sacrificing perfection for greater coverage (after all, there are 451 million ways to select 8 football draws from 49 matches). You probably won’t hit the jackpot, but you’ll have more frequent wins of lesser value and should be able to move on to winning.
So, you can see that an efficient football draw prediction system is essential.
What are the key aspects of a good soccer draw forecasting system?
Well, aside from knowing when to bet and when to avoid betting and throwing away your money, you have to be able to analyze the shape and make predictions of football draws. When it comes to form, how far back should you go? How will a team that was promoted from the Championship perform in the Premier League (and vice versa?)
Use statistics selectively
My take is that the first few weeks of the season are when we don’t get a reliable picture of form in a league division, and it takes a few weeks for the pattern to emerge. Some pundits will look at long-term patterns and suggest that some teams are experts at home wins, some have a good (or bad) away record. That may be useful in the final analysis, but I don’t take those things into account when looking for a soccer game. So how far back should we look? Certainly not last season – I work with less than half a dozen games in history (only league games).
Rate the teams
Then you have to have a consistent way of scoring a team’s performance, and that has to take into account the strength of the opposition. This leaves you with a list of teams and performance ratings.
Now you need to watch the upcoming matches and compare the ratings of the teams. Adjust home court advantage and make any other adjustments you feel are appropriate (new player or coach, key player injury?). Then arrange the list in order of the likely outcome of the match. At one end of the list will be the most likely home wins. At the other extreme will be the more likely away wins. In the middle will be the juice, where we find the elusive soccer draw block.
find the juice
Then you take the middle part of the matches and, depending on your budget, decide how many you will cover with your perm or plan. It is reasonable to expect to win in those weeks with 11-14 football ties in the results.
If we can find 60% of the draws when there are 13 or 14 in the results, then we will have 8 – 9 draws. That’s where a good betting plan comes into play, to maximize your chances of getting your football draws on a single line.
It’s important to see that this is a percentage approach, and all you’re looking to do is have the odds on your side and find the most of those elusive football ties. A few wins a season should make a profit, and as always, the devil is in the details!